I'm not looking forward to finding out what happens when it hits zero.
see link: http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MULT
Average decline: -0.077
Average decline with the outliers removed (-0.229 and -0.18): -0.040
Average case:
0.838
0.762
0.685
0.608
0.532
0.455
0.378
0.302
0.225
0.148
0.072
-0.005
7/1/2009 ( D Day)
Average without outliers:
0.875
0.835
0.795
0.754
0.714
0.674
0.634
0.594
0.554
0.514
0.473
0.433
0.393
0.353
0.313
0.273
0.233
0.192
0.152
0.112
0.072
0.032
-0.008
12/2/2009 (D Day
Doing a simple linear progression, we get 915/29 or 31.55 X 2 weeks.
63.1 weeks. That's April 3, 2010.
Maybe BHO will be able to reverse this with policy changes. Maybe the lump in the snake will pass through and enter the economy. Maybe we will spend trillions, MULT will drop to 0.350 or such and just hover their for years, then slowly rise with time. Maybe, and I hope so.
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